How to Spot Rain Risks with Signals
Identify and monitor risk factors in your RAIN holdings with health signals.
Rain Risk Overview
Rain is a decentralized options protocol built on Arbitrum. It enables anyone to create and trade custom markets without restrictions, offering a permissionless framework for prediction and options trading. Public markets are resolved using Olympus AI’s oracle agent, while private markets allow creators to act as resolvers. The protocol supports secondary trading, account abstraction for smoother user experience, and a deflationary token model where 2.5% of trading volume is allocated to buy and...
Understanding Rain Risk Signals
Fundamentally provides 7 types of risk signals to help you monitor your Rain (RAIN) position. These signals combine your Focus score, market timing (CBBI), and position sizing to alert you when conditions warrant attention.
Risk Signals for Rain
- Concentration Risk: Your RAIN position exceeds your bet size range
- Liquidity Risk: Your position is large relative to daily trading volume
- Volatility Risk: Large price swings combined with meaningful position size
- Focus-Timing Mismatch: High Focus but unfavorable market timing
- FOMO Risk: Good timing but low Focus score
- Cleanup Candidate: Very small position with low Focus
- Overweight Poor Timing: Above bet size range during unfavorable conditions
Volatility Context
Rain currently exhibits stable price action with a 24-hour volatility of 0%. Volatility Risk signals help you understand when this volatility poses a risk to your position.
How Fundamentally Monitors Rain Risks
View Your Signals
7 Risk SignalsOpen the Signals page to see which risk signals are active for Rain. Each signal tells you specifically what risk is present in your RAIN position.
Understand Each Signal
Clear ExplanationsConcentration Risk triggers when RAIN exceeds your bet size range. Volatility Risk signals you to large price swings. Focus-Timing Mismatch warns when market conditions don't favor your position.
Take Informed Action
You DecideUse the Investment Calculator to determine how much Rain to rebalance if needed. Signals are informational—you decide what action to take based on your strategy.
Concentration Risk
Signals when your RAIN position exceeds the bet size range based on your Focus score.
Liquidity Risk
Monitors when your Rain position is large relative to daily trading volume.
Volatility Risk
Tracks RAIN price swings and signals when volatility affects your position.
Timing Signals
Combines your Focus for Rain with CBBI market timing to identify mismatches.
Frequently Asked Questions
Fundamentally monitors 7 risk signals for Rain: Concentration Risk, Liquidity Risk, Volatility Risk, Focus-Timing Mismatch, FOMO Risk, Cleanup Candidate, and Overweight Poor Timing. These combine your RAIN Focus score, position size, and market conditions.
DeFi protocols like Rain face smart contract risk, oracle manipulation, and regulatory uncertainty. Your RAIN Focus evaluation should heavily weight audit history, bug bounty programs, and governance security.
Monitor Rain Risk Signals
Stay informed about risks in your portfolio with Fundamentally's signal system.